Is our town's democracy ailing?This is a featured page

Is our town democracy ailing? Why is voter turnout on the skids?

Town election data reveal an overall downward trend in voter turnout, as measured by the number of votes cast in mayoral and town council (ward) races in the last five regular elections (1999-2007). Why is that? What could be done to reverse the trend?

I looked at the election results as reported in the Town Crier for the last five elections (these data are presented in the chart and table, below; you may also view the complete year-by-year election returns here:Election Results wiki page, or you can download the data in an Excel spreadsheet). The number of candidates running for town council from the six wards has been steadily falling since at least 1999 (the earliest year election results are available from the online Town Crier archives). This trend is more consistent than the trend in voter turnout, which has more ups and downs. While in 1999 altogether 13 candidates ran for town council, and all six wards had contested elections, since that time the number of candidates has steadily dropped, election by election. It reached the point where in 2005, three of the six wards had uncontested elections. And in the elections last May, one ward -- Ward 5 -- actually had no candidates whatsoever, while two other wards had just one candidate running uncontested.

As can be seen in the chart, below, the highest number of votes recorded for the six council seats was 965, in 2001, while the lowest was this year, with only 496 votes being cast for the 5 seats that had elections.

Looking at these election data, one thing in particular stands out: Over this eight year period, with its five elections, 2007 was the only one with an uncontested mayoral race; and it was in this election that we see the number of votes cast dropping so dramatically, both in the mayoral and ward elections.

This would lead me to hypothesize that the reason for the declining voter turnout in our town is not simple voter apathy, but the drop in the number of candidates: As the number of candidates for town council declines, so does, apparently, voter interest -- particular when seats are uncontested. And when the mayoral race is uncontested, voter turnout drops dramatically (to 496 in 2007, whereas the previous low-voter total was 778 in 2003).

Of course there may be other interpretations -- as there may be other relevant facts that have played a role in these voter turnout trends. What do you think?

If I'm right, then the way to increase voter turnout would seem to be to increase the number of residents running for office. Which leaves us with the question, how do we do that?
--Dwight Holmes

I wonder if these trends hold in neighboring towns as well? Does anyone have data on this? Town Elections Data Chart
Mayoral election
1999
2001
2003
2005
2007
Number of candidates contesting 2 2 2 2 1
Votes cast 838 971 793 841 424
Ward elections





Number of candidates (total, all wards) 13 11 10 9 8
Number of ward races with 1 candidate 0 1 2 3 2
Number of ward races with no candidates



1
Votes cast 832 965 778 809 476
Council votes as a percentage of mayoral votes 99% 99% 98% 96% 117%


2009 Campaign Forum

We can provide a forum for all candidates in the next elections (May 2009) right here, safely outside the restrictions on campaigning in official media.


Next election for Mayor and Council Members: May 4, 2009

as per Article 5 § 507: Election of the Mayor and Council

The Town of Riverdale Park shall hold a non- partisan election for all elected offices biennially in odd-numbered years on the first Monday in May at a place or places to be designated by the mayor and council. The qualified voters of the town shall elect one qualified person as mayor and six (6) qualified persons, one from each ward, as council members to serve for terms of two years. The terms of all elective offices shall begin on the first Monday in June following the election.

(There may be an interim election to fill the vacant Ward 5 seat? Can someone please correct/confirm/deny/revise this?)

Reply (from Rob Oppenheim): There will not be an interim election. The position is suppose to be filled by mayoral nomination and council vote (as per a recent charter amendment). This should have happened already. I do not know why it has not.

I agree that uncontested elections reduce voter turnout. In May 2007, half of the town had no reason to vote because both the mayor and their ward's council seat were uncontested. Their ballot had no choices on it!

I fear that the lack of both candidates and voters is due to a really big problem, namely growing apathy!
But then (sigh) who cares? (g).

-Rob

Click here to see:
Election Results from Town Elections


How about a different theory? - turn out mostly has to do with the mayor's race. The mayor's races in 2001 and 2005 were exceptionally energetic. In 2007 the mayor's race was unopposed, making a big difference in turn out.

I'd be interested in pulling data to see how 2001 compares to other years further back. My memory of 2001 is that it was extraordinary. This was the race between Anne Ferguson, who had been mayor for many years, and MIke Herman, who was on council for many years. They both had deep people networks, both ran hard, and there was high emotion/energy that gets people out to the polls. Also, Mike loves politics and campaigns like nobody's business, and Anne is no slouch either in that department. It made for a very big turn out.

And I think we all remember how energetic the 2005 mayor's race was, coming on the heels of the Field of Dreams referendum. There was a huge amount of effort put into that campaign and voters were recently activated by the referendum.

I'm encouraged by the number of relatively new residents that are taking an active role in town. Our rec board volunteers did an awesome job at Riverdale Day, and nearly all of them moved into town post 2000. Our farmer's market continues to grow and has new volunteer leadership. At least half of the people I saw at the economic development presentation the other night were residents that moved into town in the last 4 years. Attendance in events like the farmer's market is growing. So to me, that signals that residents are not generally apathetic.

I think cultivating greater volunteer participation is the best way to ensure that we have plenty of good candidates willing to serve when election time rolls around. We need to build a broad pool of talent and leadership for our community - from the elected government to PTA, Rec Board, RBA, etc.

- Alice

Seems Takoma Park has the same affliction -- only worse
I caught this in the Post the other day; what I'm pasting here (below) is the blog version of the same article, available at: http://blog.washingtonpost.com/rawfisher/2007/10/post_4.html
And, in my discussion with Chris Condoyan (Hyattsville H4X) which may be heard on their podcast Episode 51, it came up that Hyattsville's voter turnout appears to be lower than Riverdale Park's. So maybe we're not doing that bad here in RP -- comparatively speaking. I guess I take some comfort in that. --Dwight 10/31/07
P.S. Alice -- I'd love to run those numbers from elections from earlier years; just need the data!

Dormant Democracy: What, No Candidates? Even in Takoma Park?
In the annals of our long, depressing slide into dormant democracy, this is a story I would not have predicted. Even in hyper-political Takoma Park--the lefty enclave in suburban Maryland that dives merrily into almost every divisive issue to come down the pike--they're holding an election this fall and hardly anybody bothered to run against the incumbents. When the deadline for filing to run for mayor or city council passed, only one person in the entire town of 17,000 souls stepped forward to mount a challenge.

The mayor and five of the six ward council members will be elected in uncontested votes. I've had a bee in my bonnet for some years now about the growing problem of voters having no choice in congressional and local elections (a piece I wrote about the about the time when 18 or Florida's 23 members of Congress won reelection with no opposition is on the jump.) This has been a problem in many parts of the country, and especially in Virginia's legislature, where, two years ago, 50 of the 100 House of Delegates seats were filled in uncontested elections. But I wouldn't have expected to see dormant democracy becoming a problem in Takoma Park, where the desire to take strong stands is somehow infused in the water. After all, this is the town that famously declared itself a nuclear-free zone many years ago and has regularly found other ways to confront the rest of the nation with its political messages. Most recently, this summer, the city council voted unanimously to support impeaching President Bush and Vice President Cheney. This is a place where, if I'm counting correctly, there are more political blogs and papers per square foot than any other spot in Maryland. (It also sports one of the most-aptly named political blogs in the region: Granola Park.) So, why the dormancy? Is it because Takoma Park residents are thrilled beyond words with their representatives? True, crime is down 10 percent. And there are some excellent people on the council. But there's no shortage of local controversies; Takoma residents are divided on the Inter-County Connector, Silver Spring development, the future and possible path of Metro's Purple Line, whether proposed development around the Takoma Metro station is too car-oriented or too dense, and smaller stuff, too, such as cost overruns on a community center project. An irony here involves Takoma Park's decision to become the first jurisdiction in the Washington area to adopt instant runoff voting, a system in which voters don't just choose a winner, but instead rank candidates so that their second and third choices can be counted if no candidate wins a majority of votes. But when the system was first used in a special election earlier this year, the instant runoff option didn't kick in because the winner won a majority. This fall, again, the newfangled system will lie dormant--runoffs can only happen if there are three or more candidates for a position. The only contested race in next week's election pits Bridget Bowers against Dan Robinson for the one open seat on the council (Ward 3 council member Bruce Williams will move up to mayor, unopposed.) In a classic case of Takoma Park comity, the opponents are jointly sponsoring a listserv where residents can discuss the campaign. Such admirable cooperation. Now, how about a little competition?


dwightrholmes
dwightrholmes
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